Livescore44

League One

Leicester City vs Stevenage Prediction: a narrow Leicester City win

Our model makes Leicester City vs Stevenage a narrow Leicester City win and low confidence at 39%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Leicester City win
Confidencelow (39%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Leicester CityStevenage
  • 48Tips44 Power52
  • 47Tips44 Form47
  • 64Tips44 Attack52
  • 32Tips44 Defence56
  • 70Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Leicester City to score80% recent

    Leicester City scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 39 percent Leicester City, 29 percent the draw and 32 percent Stevenage. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Leicester City and 1.1 from Stevenage, a combined 2.5, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Over 8.5 corners at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Leicester City win39%
Draw29%
Stevenage win32%

Expected goals

Leicester CityLeicester City1.30
StevenageStevenage1.15

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Leicester City vs Stevenage: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Leicester City vs Stevenage?

Leicester City. Our model gives them a 39% chance of winning, against 32% for Stevenage and 29% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 50%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 45%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Leicester City and 1.1 for Stevenage.

When is Leicester City vs Stevenage?

Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League One match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.