League One
Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic Prediction: a narrow Leicester City win
Our model makes Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic a narrow Leicester City win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and moderate confidence at 65%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Leicester City favoured at 65% — model xG 1.5 vs 1.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 241 wins and 121 losses from 362 settled picks, a 66.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Leicester City or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today74%1.35
- Leicester City to winMatch result tips today65%1.54
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.4%8.06
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Leicester City at 65 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Leicester City and 1.1 from Wigan Athletic, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Leicester City or draw at 85 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.