Europa League
Lillestrøm SK vs Viktoria Plzeň Prediction: a narrow Viktoria Plzeň win
Our model makes Lillestrøm SK vs Viktoria Plzeň a narrow Viktoria Plzeň win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 62% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.5 / 1.4).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Lillestrøm SK or FC Viktoria PlzeňDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today62%1.61
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.4%8.77
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 40Tips44 Power43
- 47Tips44 Form33
- 56Tips44 Attack60
- 16Tips44 Defence36
- 70Tips44 Goals90
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 2.5 goals80% recent · model 60%
7 of Lillestrøm SK's last 10 and 9 of Viktoria Plzeň's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.5 and 3.1 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today - Lillestrøm SK to score80% recent
Lillestrøm SK scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Viktoria Plzeň to score80% recent
Viktoria Plzeň scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 34 percent Lillestrøm SK, 26 percent the draw and 40 percent FC Viktoria Plzeň. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Lillestrøm SK and 1.4 from FC Viktoria Plzeň, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, Lillestrøm SK or FC Viktoria Plzeň at 74 percent and Both teams to score at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Lillestrøm SK1.54
FC Viktoria Plzeň1.40Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Lillestrøm SK vs Viktoria Plzeň: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Lillestrøm SK vs Viktoria Plzeň?
Viktoria Plzeň. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 34% for Lillestrøm SK and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 62%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Lillestrøm SK and 1.4 for Viktoria Plzeň.
When is Lillestrøm SK vs Viktoria Plzeň?
Thursday 5 November, 20:45 EAT (17:45 UTC). It is a Europa League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.