Parva Liga
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction: a narrow Botev Plovdiv win
Our model makes Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv a narrow Botev Plovdiv win and low confidence at 37%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Lokomotiv Sofia or Botev PlovdivDouble chance tips today72%1.39
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.8%8.47
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 34Tips44 Power53
- 27Tips44 Form60
- 44Tips44 Attack56
- 32Tips44 Defence44
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Lokomotiv Sofia to score90% recent
Lokomotiv Sofia scored in 9 of their last 10 (11 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 35 percent Lokomotiv Sofia, 28 percent the draw and 37 percent Botev Plovdiv. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Lokomotiv Sofia and 1.4 from Botev Plovdiv, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Lokomotiv Sofia or Botev Plovdiv at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Botev Plovdiv. Our model gives them a 37% chance of winning, against 35% for Lokomotiv Sofia and 28% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 54%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Lokomotiv Sofia and 1.4 for Botev Plovdiv.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Friday 30 October, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Parva Liga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.