Pro League
Lommel SK vs KAA Gent Prediction: a narrow Lommel SK win
Our model makes Lommel SK vs KAA Gent a narrow Lommel SK win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Lommel SK or KAA GentDouble chance tips today72%1.39
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today66%1.52
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.4%8.06
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 41Tips44 Power77
- 40Tips44 Form83
- 44Tips44 Attack76
- 40Tips44 Defence72
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- KAA Gent to score90% recent
KAA Gent scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent Lommel SK, 28 percent the draw and 34 percent KAA Gent. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Lommel SK and 1.3 from KAA Gent, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Lommel SK or KAA Gent at 72 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 66 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Lommel SK vs KAA Gent: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Lommel SK vs KAA Gent?
Lommel SK. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 34% for KAA Gent and 28% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 53%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Lommel SK and 1.3 for KAA Gent.
When is Lommel SK vs KAA Gent?
Sunday 1 November, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.