League One
Mansfield Town vs Notts County Prediction: a narrow Mansfield Town win
Our model makes Mansfield Town vs Notts County a narrow Mansfield Town win and low confidence at 39%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Mansfield Town or Notts CountyDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.9%8.40
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 54Tips44 Power40
- 50Tips44 Form33
- 72Tips44 Attack40
- 40Tips44 Defence48
- 70Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 76%
8 of Mansfield Town's last 10 and 9 of Notts County's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 39 percent Mansfield Town, 27 percent the draw and 34 percent Notts County. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Mansfield Town and 1.4 from Notts County, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Mansfield Town or Notts County at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
Mansfield Town. Our model gives them a 39% chance of winning, against 34% for Notts County and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Mansfield Town and 1.4 for Notts County.
When is Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League One match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.