Livescore44

Ligue 2

Nantes vs Clermont Foot Prediction: a narrow Nantes win

Our model makes Nantes vs Clermont Foot a narrow Nantes win and moderate confidence at 64%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Nantes win
Confidencemoderate (64%)
Market we would callNantes to win

Nantes favoured at 64% — model xG 1.3 vs 1.2.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
NantesClermont Foot
  • 33Tips44 Power32
  • 27Tips44 Form20
  • 48Tips44 Attack48
  • 24Tips44 Defence28
  • 60Tips44 Goals40

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Nantes at 64 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Nantes and 1.2 from Clermont Foot, a combined 2.5, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Nantes or draw at 85 percent, Nantes to win at 64 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Nantes win64%
Draw22%
Clermont Foot win15%

Expected goals

NantesNantes1.26
Clermont FootClermont Foot1.22

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Nantes vs Clermont Foot: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Nantes vs Clermont Foot?

Nantes. Our model gives them a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Clermont Foot and 22% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 52%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Nantes and 1.2 for Clermont Foot.

When is Nantes vs Clermont Foot?

Friday 30 October, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Ligue 2 match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.