MLS
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami Prediction: a narrow Inter Miami win
Our model makes New England Revolution vs Inter Miami a narrow Inter Miami win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 72% — combined xG 3.5.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- New England Revolution or Inter Miami CFDouble chance tips today77%1.30
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today72%1.39
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today68%1.47
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.2%10.87
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 58Tips44 Power56
- 70Tips44 Form47
- 72Tips44 Attack76
- 32Tips44 Defence44
- 90Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Lionel Messi (Inter Miami)
What the last 10 matches say
- Inter Miami to score90% recent
Inter Miami scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals80% recent · model 72%
9 of New England Revolution's last 10 and 7 of Inter Miami's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.5 and 3.3 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today - New England Revolution to score80% recent
New England Revolution scored in 8 of their last 10 (18 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 68%
Both teams scored in 7 of New England Revolution's last 10 and 7 of Inter Miami's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 35 percent New England Revolution, 23 percent the draw and 42 percent Inter Miami CF. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from New England Revolution and 1.7 from Inter Miami CF, a combined 3.5, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, New England Revolution or Inter Miami CF at 77 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
New England Revolution1.77
Inter Miami CF1.73Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?
Inter Miami. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 35% for New England Revolution and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 68%. Both teams scored in 7 of New England Revolution's last 10 and 7 of Inter Miami's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 72%, with expected goals of 1.8 for New England Revolution and 1.7 for Inter Miami.
When is New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?
Monday 2 November, 03:00 EAT (00:00 UTC). It is a MLS match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.