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Ligue 1

Olympique Lyonnais vs Angers Prediction: an Olympique Lyonnais win

Our model makes Olympique Lyonnais vs Angers an Olympique Lyonnais win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and moderate confidence at 68%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomean Olympique Lyonnais win
Predicted score2-0
Confidencemoderate (68%)
Market we would callOlympique Lyonnais to win

Olympique Lyonnais favoured at 68%, with model xG of 2.1 vs 0.9.

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Olympique Lyonnais at 68 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Olympique Lyonnais and 0.9 from Angers, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Olympique Lyonnais or draw at 85 percent and Olympique Lyonnais to win at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 10.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Olympique Lyonnais win68%
Draw20%
Angers win13%

Expected goals

Olympique Lyonnais crestOlympique Lyonnais2.08
Angers crestAngers0.94

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Olympique Lyonnais vs Angers: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Olympique Lyonnais vs Angers?

Olympique Lyonnais. Our model gives them a 68% chance of winning, against 13% for Angers and 20% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 50%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 2.1 for Olympique Lyonnais and 0.9 for Angers.

When is Olympique Lyonnais vs Angers?

Sunday 1 November, 19:15 EAT (16:15 UTC). It is a Ligue 1 match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreLigue 1 hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.