Allsvenskan
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF Prediction: a narrow Mjällby AIF win
Our model makes Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF a narrow Mjällby AIF win and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Mjällby AIF or drawDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.3%8.85
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 28Tips44 Power29
- 20Tips44 Form23
- 56Tips44 Attack28
- 8Tips44 Defence36
- 70Tips44 Goals20
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 77%
9 of Örgryte IS's last 10 and 9 of Mjällby AIF's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Örgryte IS to score80% recent
Örgryte IS scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Mjällby AIF at 49 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Örgryte IS and 1.4 from Mjällby AIF, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Mjällby AIF or draw at 75 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
Mjällby AIF. Our model gives them a 49% chance of winning, against 26% for Örgryte IS and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Örgryte IS and 1.4 for Mjällby AIF.
When is Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
Thursday 29 October, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Allsvenskan match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.