Serie B
Palermo vs L.R. Vicenza Prediction: a narrow Palermo win
Our model makes Palermo vs L.R. Vicenza a narrow Palermo win and low confidence at 61%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Palermo favoured at 61%, with model xG of 1.6 vs 1.3.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Palermo or drawDouble chance tips today83%1.20
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Palermo to winMatch result tips today61%1.64
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.6%8.62
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 78Tips44 Power35
- 87Tips44 Form30
- 100Tips44 Attack52
- 48Tips44 Defence24
- 70Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Palermo to score100% recent
Palermo scored in 10 of their last 10 (26 goals).
- L.R. Vicenza to score80% recent
L.R. Vicenza scored in 8 of their last 10 (13 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 57%
Both teams scored in 8 of Palermo's last 10 and 7 of L.R. Vicenza's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Over 2.5 goals75% recent · model 60%
7 of Palermo's last 10 and 8 of L.R. Vicenza's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.9 and 3.2 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Palermo at 61 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Palermo and 1.3 from L.R. Vicenza, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Palermo or draw at 83 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Palermo1.58
L.R. Vicenza1.29Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Palermo vs L.R. Vicenza: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Palermo vs L.R. Vicenza?
Palermo. Our model gives them a 61% chance of winning, against 17% for L.R. Vicenza and 22% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%. Both teams scored in 8 of Palermo's last 10 and 7 of L.R. Vicenza's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Palermo and 1.3 for L.R. Vicenza.
When is Palermo vs L.R. Vicenza?
Sunday 1 November, 21:30 EAT (18:30 UTC). It is a Serie B match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.