Livescore44

Challenger Pro League

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs KSC Lokeren Prediction: a narrow Patro Eisden Maasmechelen win

Our model makes Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs KSC Lokeren a narrow Patro Eisden Maasmechelen win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Patro Eisden Maasmechelen win
Confidencelow (38%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Patro Eisden MaasmechelenKSC Lokeren
  • 42Tips44 Power65
  • 37Tips44 Form63
  • 48Tips44 Attack84
  • 40Tips44 Defence48
  • 60Tips44 Goals60

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • KSC Lokeren to score90% recent

    KSC Lokeren scored in 9 of their last 10 (21 goals).

  • Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 77%

    7 of Patro Eisden Maasmechelen's last 10 and 10 of KSC Lokeren's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today
  • Patro Eisden Maasmechelen to score80% recent

    Patro Eisden Maasmechelen scored in 8 of their last 10 (12 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent Patro Eisden Maasmechelen, 27 percent the draw and 35 percent KSC Lokeren. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Patro Eisden Maasmechelen and 1.6 from KSC Lokeren, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen or KSC Lokeren at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen win38%
Draw27%
KSC Lokeren win35%

Expected goals

Patro Eisden MaasmechelenPatro Eisden Maasmechelen1.66
KSC LokerenKSC Lokeren1.65

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs KSC Lokeren: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs KSC Lokeren?

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 35% for KSC Lokeren and 27% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 58%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen and 1.6 for KSC Lokeren.

When is Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs KSC Lokeren?

Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Challenger Pro League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.