League One
Peterborough United vs Luton Town Prediction: a narrow Luton Town win
Our model makes Peterborough United vs Luton Town a narrow Luton Town win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 1.5 at 80% — combined xG 3.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today80%1.25
- Peterborough United or Luton TownDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today70%1.43
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.9%9.17
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 36Tips44 Power46
- 27Tips44 Form43
- 48Tips44 Attack60
- 32Tips44 Defence36
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 80%
8 of Peterborough United's last 10 and 9 of Luton Town's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Luton Town to score80% recent
Luton Town scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 59%
Both teams scored in 7 of Peterborough United's last 10 and 7 of Luton Town's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 37 percent Peterborough United, 25 percent the draw and 38 percent Luton Town. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Peterborough United and 1.5 from Luton Town, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent, Peterborough United or Luton Town at 75 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Peterborough United vs Luton Town: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Peterborough United vs Luton Town?
Luton Town. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 37% for Peterborough United and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%. Both teams scored in 7 of Peterborough United's last 10 and 7 of Luton Town's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Peterborough United and 1.5 for Luton Town.
When is Peterborough United vs Luton Town?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League One match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.