Serie B
Pisa vs Südtirol Prediction: a narrow Pisa win
Our model makes Pisa vs Südtirol a narrow Pisa win and low confidence at 59%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Pisa favoured at 59%, with model xG of 1.4 vs 1.1.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 317 wins and 134 losses from 451 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Pisa or drawDouble chance tips today84%1.19
- Pisa to winMatch result tips today59%1.69
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.4%8.06
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 44Tips44 Power42
- 40Tips44 Form33
- 64Tips44 Attack44
- 28Tips44 Defence48
- 70Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 76%
10 of Pisa's last 10 and 8 of Südtirol's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Pisa at 59 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Pisa and 1.1 from Südtirol, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Pisa or draw at 84 percent and Pisa to win at 59 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Pisa1.45
Südtirol1.15Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Pisa vs Südtirol: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Pisa vs Südtirol?
Pisa. Our model gives them a 59% chance of winning, against 16% for Südtirol and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 52%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Pisa and 1.1 for Südtirol.
When is Pisa vs Südtirol?
Saturday 7 November, 17:00 EAT (14:00 UTC). It is a Serie B match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.