League One
Plymouth Argyle vs Reading Prediction: a narrow Plymouth Argyle win
Our model makes Plymouth Argyle vs Reading a narrow Plymouth Argyle win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.6 / 1.5).
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Plymouth Argyle or ReadingDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today69%1.45
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.1%9.01
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 56Tips44 Power62
- 60Tips44 Form57
- 68Tips44 Attack72
- 40Tips44 Defence56
- 60Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Reading to score90% recent
Reading scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 79%
9 of Plymouth Argyle's last 10 and 8 of Reading's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 40 percent Plymouth Argyle, 26 percent the draw and 34 percent Reading. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Plymouth Argyle and 1.5 from Reading, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Plymouth Argyle or Reading at 74 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 69 percent and Both teams to score at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Plymouth Argyle vs Reading: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Plymouth Argyle vs Reading?
Plymouth Argyle. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 34% for Reading and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Plymouth Argyle and 1.5 for Reading.
When is Plymouth Argyle vs Reading?
Saturday 31 October, 15:30 EAT (12:30 UTC). It is a League One match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.