League Two
Port Vale vs Rochdale Prediction: a narrow Rochdale win
Our model makes Port Vale vs Rochdale a narrow Rochdale win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today13.0%7.69
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 41Tips44 Power47
- 40Tips44 Form50
- 24Tips44 Attack56
- 60Tips44 Defence36
- 10Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Rochdale to score80% recent
Rochdale scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Rochdale at 42 percent, with the draw at 30 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Port Vale and 1.3 from Rochdale, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Rochdale. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 28% for Port Vale and 30% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 49%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 42%, with expected goals of 1.1 for Port Vale and 1.3 for Rochdale.
When is Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Saturday 31 October, 15:30 EAT (12:30 UTC). It is a League Two match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.