MLS
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo Prediction: a narrow Portland Timbers win
Our model makes Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo a narrow Portland Timbers win and low confidence at 51%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 61% — combined xG 2.9.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Portland Timbers or Houston DynamoDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.5%8.70
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 43Tips44 Power45
- 40Tips44 Form40
- 72Tips44 Attack48
- 16Tips44 Defence48
- 70Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Portland Timbers at 51 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Portland Timbers and 1.3 from Houston Dynamo, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo at 76 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Portland Timbers1.58
Houston Dynamo1.30Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?
Portland Timbers. Our model gives them a 51% chance of winning, against 25% for Houston Dynamo and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 61%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Portland Timbers and 1.3 for Houston Dynamo.
When is Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?
Monday 2 November, 05:45 EAT (02:45 UTC). It is a MLS match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.