Girabola
Primeiro de Agosto vs Atlético Petróleos de Luanda Prediction: a narrow Primeiro de Agosto win
Our model makes Primeiro de Agosto vs Atlético Petróleos de Luanda a narrow Primeiro de Agosto win and low confidence at 36%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 309 wins and 147 losses from 456 settled picks, a 67.8% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 61Tips44 Power69
- 67Tips44 Form70
- 57Tips44 Attack56
- 60Tips44 Defence80
- 43Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 7 to 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Primeiro de Agosto to score86% recent
Primeiro de Agosto scored in 6 of their last 7 (10 goals).
- Atlético Petróleos de Luanda to score80% recent
Atlético Petróleos de Luanda scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent Primeiro de Agosto, 33 percent the draw and 31 percent Atlético Petróleos de Luanda. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 0.9 goals from Primeiro de Agosto and 1.0 from Atlético Petróleos de Luanda, a combined 1.9, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-0, though at 14.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Primeiro de Agosto vs Atlético Petróleos de Luanda: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Primeiro de Agosto vs Atlético Petróleos de Luanda?
Primeiro de Agosto. Our model gives them a 36% chance of winning, against 31% for Atlético Petróleos de Luanda and 33% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 41%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 32%, with expected goals of 0.9 for Primeiro de Agosto and 1.0 for Atlético Petróleos de Luanda.
When is Primeiro de Agosto vs Atlético Petróleos de Luanda?
Saturday 31 October, 17:30 EAT (14:30 UTC). It is a Girabola match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.