La Liga
Real Racing Club vs Real Madrid Prediction: a narrow Real Madrid win
Our model makes Real Racing Club vs Real Madrid a narrow Real Madrid win and high confidence at 78%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 79% — combined xG 3.5.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Real Madrid or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today79%1.27
- Real Madrid to winMatch result tips today78%1.28
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.0%11.11
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Real Madrid at 78 percent, with the draw at 13 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Real Racing Club and 2.0 from Real Madrid, a combined 3.5, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Real Madrid or draw at 85 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 79 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Real Racing Club1.55
Real Madrid1.97Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Real Racing Club vs Real Madrid: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Real Racing Club vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid. Our model gives them a 78% chance of winning, against 9% for Real Racing Club and 13% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 79%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Real Racing Club and 2.0 for Real Madrid.
When is Real Racing Club vs Real Madrid?
Sunday 1 November, 18:15 EAT (15:15 UTC). It is a La Liga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.