Livescore44

Segunda División

Real Sociedad B vs Girona Prediction: a narrow Girona win

Our model makes Real Sociedad B vs Girona a narrow Girona win and low confidence at 47%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Girona win
Confidencelow (47%)
Market we would callBoth teams to score

Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.4 / 1.5).

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Real Sociedad BGirona
  • 33Tips44 Power72
  • 27Tips44 Form67
  • 56Tips44 Attack84
  • 16Tips44 Defence64
  • 70Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Girona to score90% recent

    Girona scored in 9 of their last 10 (21 goals).

  • Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 79%

    8 of Real Sociedad B's last 10 and 9 of Girona's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today
  • Real Sociedad B to score80% recent

    Real Sociedad B scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).

  • Both teams to score70% recent · model 61%

    Both teams scored in 8 of Real Sociedad B's last 10 and 6 of Girona's last 10.

    More both teams to score picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Girona FC at 47 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Real Sociedad B and 1.5 from Girona FC, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Real Sociedad B or Girona FC at 74 percent and Both teams to score at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Real Sociedad B win27%
Draw26%
Girona win47%

Expected goals

Real Sociedad BReal Sociedad B1.43
Girona FCGirona FC1.46

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Real Sociedad B vs Girona: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Real Sociedad B vs Girona?

Girona. Our model gives them a 47% chance of winning, against 27% for Real Sociedad B and 26% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 61%. Both teams scored in 8 of Real Sociedad B's last 10 and 6 of Girona's last 10.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Real Sociedad B and 1.5 for Girona.

When is Real Sociedad B vs Girona?

Saturday 31 October, 16:00 EAT (13:00 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.