Europa League
Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction: a narrow Real Sociedad win
Our model makes Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais a narrow Real Sociedad win and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.6 / 1.4).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Real Sociedad or Olympique LyonnaisDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.9%9.17
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 65Tips44 Power56
- 63Tips44 Form57
- 96Tips44 Attack64
- 36Tips44 Defence48
- 80Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Real Sociedad to score80% recent
Real Sociedad scored in 8 of their last 10 (24 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals75% recent · model 60%
8 of Real Sociedad's last 10 and 7 of Olympique Lyonnais's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 4 and 2.9 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Real Sociedad at 49 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Real Sociedad and 1.4 from Olympique Lyonnais, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, Real Sociedad or Olympique Lyonnais at 75 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Real Sociedad1.63
Olympique Lyonnais1.45Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Real Sociedad. Our model gives them a 49% chance of winning, against 26% for Olympique Lyonnais and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Real Sociedad and 1.4 for Olympique Lyonnais.
When is Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Thursday 5 November, 20:45 EAT (17:45 UTC). It is a Europa League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.