Eerste Divisie
RKC Waalwijk vs Almere City Prediction: a narrow RKC Waalwijk win
Our model makes RKC Waalwijk vs Almere City a narrow RKC Waalwijk win and low confidence at 43%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 66% — combined xG 3.3.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 309 wins and 147 losses from 456 settled picks, a 67.8% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- RKC Waalwijk or Almere City FCDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today70%1.43
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today66%1.52
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today66%1.52
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.2%9.80
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 54Tips44 Power68
- 47Tips44 Form60
- 72Tips44 Attack84
- 44Tips44 Defence60
- 40Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Almere City to score90% recent
Almere City scored in 9 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 84%
10 of RKC Waalwijk's last 10 and 7 of Almere City's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - RKC Waalwijk to score80% recent
RKC Waalwijk scored in 8 of their last 10 (18 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has RKC Waalwijk at 43 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from RKC Waalwijk and 1.6 from Almere City FC, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent, RKC Waalwijk or Almere City FC at 76 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
RKC Waalwijk vs Almere City: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in RKC Waalwijk vs Almere City?
RKC Waalwijk. Our model gives them a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for Almere City and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 66%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 66%, with expected goals of 1.6 for RKC Waalwijk and 1.6 for Almere City.
When is RKC Waalwijk vs Almere City?
Friday 30 October, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Eerste Divisie match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.