Europa League
RSC Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction: a narrow RSC Anderlecht win
Our model makes RSC Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg a narrow RSC Anderlecht win and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.5 / 1.4).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- RSC Anderlecht or Red Bull SalzburgDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.3%8.85
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 65Tips44 Power64
- 63Tips44 Form60
- 68Tips44 Attack76
- 64Tips44 Defence56
- 70Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Red Bull Salzburg to score80% recent
Red Bull Salzburg scored in 8 of their last 10 (19 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 59%
7 of RSC Anderlecht's last 10 and 7 of Red Bull Salzburg's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 2.6 and 3 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has RSC Anderlecht at 49 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from RSC Anderlecht and 1.4 from Red Bull Salzburg, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, RSC Anderlecht or Red Bull Salzburg at 75 percent and Both teams to score at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
RSC Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in RSC Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
RSC Anderlecht. Our model gives them a 49% chance of winning, against 27% for Red Bull Salzburg and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 1.5 for RSC Anderlecht and 1.4 for Red Bull Salzburg.
When is RSC Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Thursday 5 November, 20:45 EAT (17:45 UTC). It is a Europa League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.