MLS
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction: a narrow Colorado Rapids win
Our model makes Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes a narrow Colorado Rapids win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
Our pre-match call, Colorado Rapids to win, lost.
This fixture has been played. The call above was published before kickoff, and our settled picks, wins and losses, are on the public record.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.7 / 1.4).
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 265 wins and 135 losses from 400 settled picks, a 66.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Colorado Rapids or San Jose EarthquakesDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.5%9.52
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Colorado Rapids at 49 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Colorado Rapids and 1.4 from San Jose Earthquakes, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, Colorado Rapids or San Jose Earthquakes at 75 percent and Both teams to score at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.