MLS
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction: a narrow Real Salt Lake win
Our model makes Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes a narrow Real Salt Lake win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and low confidence at 53%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
Our pre-match call, Real Salt Lake to win, lost.
This fixture has been played. The call above was published before kickoff, and our settled picks, wins and losses, are on the public record.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 65% — combined xG 3.2.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 139 losses from 414 settled picks, a 66.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- Real Salt Lake or drawDouble chance tips today77%1.30
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today65%1.54
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.5%9.52
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Real Salt Lake at 53 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Real Salt Lake and 1.5 from San Jose Earthquakes, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent, Real Salt Lake or draw at 77 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.