Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP Prediction: a narrow Sporting CP win
Our model makes Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP a narrow Sporting CP win and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Shakhtar Donetsk or Sporting CPDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.6%9.43
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 64Tips44 Power68
- 53Tips44 Form67
- 68Tips44 Attack80
- 72Tips44 Defence56
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Sporting CP to score100% recent
Sporting CP scored in 10 of their last 10 (20 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 79%
7 of Shakhtar Donetsk's last 10 and 10 of Sporting CP's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Sporting CP at 49 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.7 from Sporting CP, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Shakhtar Donetsk or Sporting CP at 75 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Shakhtar Donetsk1.42
Sporting CP1.71Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP. Our model gives them a 49% chance of winning, against 26% for Shakhtar Donetsk and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 57%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.7 for Sporting CP.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Tuesday 3 November, 20:45 EAT (17:45 UTC). It is a Champions League match.
Where can I watch Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Our guide "How to watch the Champions League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.