League Two
Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham Prediction: a narrow Shrewsbury Town win
Our model makes Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham a narrow Shrewsbury Town win and low confidence at 39%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Shrewsbury Town or GillinghamDouble chance tips today72%1.39
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.5%8.00
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 49Tips44 Power54
- 50Tips44 Form50
- 56Tips44 Attack68
- 40Tips44 Defence44
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 73%
8 of Shrewsbury Town's last 10 and 9 of Gillingham's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Gillingham to score80% recent
Gillingham scored in 8 of their last 10 (17 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 39 percent Shrewsbury Town, 28 percent the draw and 33 percent Gillingham. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Shrewsbury Town and 1.3 from Gillingham, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Shrewsbury Town or Gillingham at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham?
Shrewsbury Town. Our model gives them a 39% chance of winning, against 33% for Gillingham and 28% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 53%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Shrewsbury Town and 1.3 for Gillingham.
When is Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League Two match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.