Champions League
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal Prediction: a narrow Arsenal win
Our model makes Slavia Praha vs Arsenal a narrow Arsenal win and moderate confidence at 71%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Arsenal favoured at 71%, with model xG of 1.4 vs 1.5.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Arsenal or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Arsenal to winMatch result tips today71%1.41
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.4%8.77
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 67Tips44 Power71
- 60Tips44 Form77
- 76Tips44 Attack72
- 64Tips44 Defence64
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)
- Declan Rice (Arsenal)
- Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)
What the last 10 matches say
- Arsenal to score90% recent
Arsenal scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).
- Slavia Praha to score80% recent
Slavia Praha scored in 8 of their last 10 (19 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Arsenal at 71 percent, with the draw at 16 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from SK Slavia Praha and 1.5 from Arsenal, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Arsenal or draw at 85 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent and Arsenal to win at 71 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
SK Slavia Praha1.43
Arsenal1.51Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?
Arsenal. Our model gives them a 71% chance of winning, against 13% for Slavia Praha and 16% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Slavia Praha and 1.5 for Arsenal.
When is Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?
Wednesday 4 November, 23:00 EAT (20:00 UTC). It is a Champions League match.
Where can I watch Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?
Our guide "How to watch the Champions League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.