Serie A
Napoli vs Lazio Prediction: a narrow Napoli win
Our model makes Napoli vs Lazio a narrow Napoli win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- SSC Napoli or LazioDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.2%8.20
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 52Tips44 Power81
- 47Tips44 Form87
- 68Tips44 Attack100
- 40Tips44 Defence56
- 50Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Lazio to score100% recent
Lazio scored in 10 of their last 10 (27 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 75%
7 of Napoli's last 10 and 10 of Lazio's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has SSC Napoli at 41 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from SSC Napoli and 1.3 from Lazio, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: SSC Napoli or Lazio at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
SSC Napoli1.45
Lazio1.25Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Napoli vs Lazio: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Napoli vs Lazio?
Napoli. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 32% for Lazio and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 54%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 51%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Napoli and 1.3 for Lazio.
When is Napoli vs Lazio?
Sunday 8 November, 14:30 EAT (11:30 UTC). It is a Serie A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.