Scottish Premiership
St. Johnstone vs Dundee Prediction: a narrow St. Johnstone win
Our model makes St. Johnstone vs Dundee a narrow St. Johnstone win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 317 wins and 134 losses from 451 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- St. Johnstone or Dundee FCDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.6%8.62
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 40Tips44 Power59
- 37Tips44 Form57
- 44Tips44 Attack68
- 40Tips44 Defence52
- 50Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Dundee to score100% recent
Dundee scored in 10 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 77%
8 of St. Johnstone's last 10 and 10 of Dundee's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - St. Johnstone to score80% recent
St. Johnstone scored in 8 of their last 10 (11 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 58%
Both teams scored in 7 of St. Johnstone's last 10 and 8 of Dundee's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 40 percent St. Johnstone, 27 percent the draw and 33 percent Dundee FC. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from St. Johnstone and 1.4 from Dundee FC, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: St. Johnstone or Dundee FC at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
St. Johnstone1.52
Dundee FC1.35Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
St. Johnstone vs Dundee: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in St. Johnstone vs Dundee?
St. Johnstone. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 33% for Dundee and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 58%. Both teams scored in 7 of St. Johnstone's last 10 and 8 of Dundee's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.5 for St. Johnstone and 1.4 for Dundee.
When is St. Johnstone vs Dundee?
Saturday 7 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Scottish Premiership match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.