Ligue 1
Stade Brestois vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction: a narrow Olympique Lyonnais win
Our model makes Stade Brestois vs Olympique Lyonnais a narrow Olympique Lyonnais win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Stade Brestois or Olympique LyonnaisDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.2%8.93
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 44Tips44 Power61
- 33Tips44 Form63
- 64Tips44 Attack68
- 36Tips44 Defence52
- 70Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Stade Brestois to score80% recent
Stade Brestois scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 57%
7 of Stade Brestois's last 10 and 7 of Olympique Lyonnais's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.2 and 2.9 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Olympique Lyonnais at 42 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Stade Brestois and 1.6 from Olympique Lyonnais, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Stade Brestois or Olympique Lyonnais at 75 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Stade Brestois1.41
Olympique Lyonnais1.58Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Stade Brestois vs Olympique Lyonnais: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Stade Brestois vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Olympique Lyonnais. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 33% for Stade Brestois and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 58%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 57%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Stade Brestois and 1.6 for Olympique Lyonnais.
When is Stade Brestois vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Sunday 8 November, 19:15 EAT (16:15 UTC). It is a Ligue 1 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.