Premier League
Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction: a narrow Chelsea win
Our model makes Sunderland vs Chelsea a narrow Chelsea win and low confidence at 43%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Sunderland or ChelseaDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.8%8.47
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 36Tips44 Power60
- 37Tips44 Form57
- 44Tips44 Attack92
- 28Tips44 Defence32
- 40Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Cole Palmer (Chelsea)
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 77%
8 of Sunderland's last 10 and 10 of Chelsea's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Chelsea to score80% recent
Chelsea scored in 8 of their last 10 (23 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Chelsea at 43 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Sunderland and 1.5 from Chelsea, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Sunderland or Chelsea at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Sunderland1.31
Chelsea1.52Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Sunderland vs Chelsea: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Chelsea. Our model gives them a 43% chance of winning, against 31% for Sunderland and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Sunderland and 1.5 for Chelsea.
When is Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Sunday 8 November, 17:00 EAT (14:00 UTC). It is a Premier League match.
Where can I watch Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Our guide "How to watch the Premier League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.