National League
Sutton United vs Aldershot Town Prediction: a narrow Sutton United win
Our model makes Sutton United vs Aldershot Town a narrow Sutton United win and low confidence at 50%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Sutton United or drawDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.2%8.93
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 31Tips44 Power46
- 30Tips44 Form37
- 36Tips44 Attack60
- 28Tips44 Defence40
- 40Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 77%
9 of Sutton United's last 10 and 8 of Aldershot Town's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Aldershot Town to score80% recent
Aldershot Town scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Sutton United at 50 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Sutton United and 1.5 from Aldershot Town, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Sutton United or draw at 76 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 60 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Sutton United vs Aldershot Town: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Sutton United vs Aldershot Town?
Sutton United. Our model gives them a 50% chance of winning, against 24% for Aldershot Town and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 54%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Sutton United and 1.5 for Aldershot Town.
When is Sutton United vs Aldershot Town?
Wednesday 28 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.