National League
Tamworth vs Scunthorpe United Prediction: a narrow Tamworth win
Our model makes Tamworth vs Scunthorpe United a narrow Tamworth win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 66% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.7 / 1.7).
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- Tamworth or Scunthorpe UnitedDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today66%1.52
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today65%1.54
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.6%10.42
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 35Tips44 Power37
- 33Tips44 Form30
- 56Tips44 Attack56
- 16Tips44 Defence24
- 80Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Tamworth to score100% recent
Tamworth scored in 10 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 65%
8 of Tamworth's last 10 and 6 of Scunthorpe United's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.5 and 3.3 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Tamworth at 42 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Tamworth and 1.7 from Scunthorpe United, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent, Tamworth or Scunthorpe United at 75 percent and Both teams to score at 66 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Tamworth vs Scunthorpe United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Tamworth vs Scunthorpe United?
Tamworth. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 33% for Scunthorpe United and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 66%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 65%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Tamworth and 1.7 for Scunthorpe United.
When is Tamworth vs Scunthorpe United?
Tuesday 27 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.