Livescore44

National League

Tamworth vs Woking Prediction: a narrow Woking win

Our model makes Tamworth vs Woking a narrow Woking win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Woking win
Confidencelow (40%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 61% — combined xG 3.2.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
TamworthWoking
  • 35Tips44 Power56
  • 33Tips44 Form47
  • 56Tips44 Attack84
  • 16Tips44 Defence36
  • 80Tips44 Goals60

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Tamworth to score100% recent

    Tamworth scored in 10 of their last 10 (14 goals).

  • Both teams to score75% recent · model 61%

    Both teams scored in 8 of Tamworth's last 10 and 7 of Woking's last 10.

    More both teams to score picks today
  • Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 61%

    8 of Tamworth's last 10 and 6 of Woking's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.5 and 3.7 a game).

    More over 2.5 goals picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent Tamworth, 24 percent the draw and 40 percent Woking. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Tamworth and 1.6 from Woking, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, Tamworth or Woking at 76 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Tamworth win36%
Draw24%
Woking win40%

Expected goals

TamworthTamworth1.58
WokingWoking1.64

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Tamworth vs Woking: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Tamworth vs Woking?

Woking. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 36% for Tamworth and 24% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 61%. Both teams scored in 8 of Tamworth's last 10 and 7 of Woking's last 10.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 61%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Tamworth and 1.6 for Woking.

When is Tamworth vs Woking?

Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a National League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.