Liga Portugal 2
Tondela vs Felgueiras Prediction: a narrow Tondela win
Our model makes Tondela vs Felgueiras a narrow Tondela win and low confidence at 36%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 58Tips44 Power49
- 53Tips44 Form43
- 56Tips44 Attack40
- 64Tips44 Defence64
- 40Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent Tondela, 32 percent the draw and 32 percent Felgueiras. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Tondela and 1.1 from Felgueiras, a combined 2.2, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Tondela vs Felgueiras: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Tondela vs Felgueiras?
Tondela. Our model gives them a 36% chance of winning, against 32% for Felgueiras and 32% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 47%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 39%, with expected goals of 1.2 for Tondela and 1.1 for Felgueiras.
When is Tondela vs Felgueiras?
Sunday 1 November, 17:00 EAT (14:00 UTC). It is a Liga Portugal 2 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.