Ligue 1
Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg Prediction: a narrow Toulouse win
Our model makes Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg a narrow Toulouse win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Toulouse or RC StrasbourgDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.0%9.09
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 43Tips44 Power32
- 33Tips44 Form27
- 60Tips44 Attack52
- 36Tips44 Defence16
- 70Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 58%
7 of Toulouse's last 10 and 7 of RC Strasbourg's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.1 and 3.4 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Toulouse at 42 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Toulouse and 1.4 from RC Strasbourg, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Toulouse or RC Strasbourg at 75 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Toulouse1.62
RC Strasbourg1.42Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg?
Toulouse. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 33% for RC Strasbourg and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 58%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Toulouse and 1.4 for RC Strasbourg.
When is Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg?
Friday 6 November, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Ligue 1 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.