Ligue 2
USL Dunkerque vs Guingamp Prediction: a narrow Guingamp win
Our model makes USL Dunkerque vs Guingamp a narrow Guingamp win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.5 / 1.4).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 317 wins and 134 losses from 451 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- USL Dunkerque or GuingampDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.6%8.62
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 30Tips44 Power52
- 27Tips44 Form47
- 28Tips44 Attack64
- 36Tips44 Defence44
- 30Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Guingamp to score80% recent
Guingamp scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent USL Dunkerque, 26 percent the draw and 38 percent Guingamp. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from USL Dunkerque and 1.4 from Guingamp, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: USL Dunkerque or Guingamp at 74 percent and Both teams to score at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
USL Dunkerque1.51
Guingamp1.36Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
USL Dunkerque vs Guingamp: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in USL Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
Guingamp. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 36% for USL Dunkerque and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 57%, with expected goals of 1.5 for USL Dunkerque and 1.4 for Guingamp.
When is USL Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
Friday 6 November, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Ligue 2 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.