Livescore44

2. Bundesliga

VfL Osnabrück vs Kaiserslautern Prediction: a narrow Kaiserslautern win

Our model makes VfL Osnabrück vs Kaiserslautern a narrow Kaiserslautern win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Kaiserslautern win
Confidencelow (38%)
Market we would callBoth teams to score

Both teams to score priced 60% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.4 / 1.4).

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
VfL OsnabrückKaiserslautern
  • 44Tips44 Power61
  • 37Tips44 Form67
  • 56Tips44 Attack48
  • 40Tips44 Defence68
  • 60Tips44 Goals40

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • VfL Osnabrück to score80% recent

    VfL Osnabrück scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent VfL Osnabrück, 26 percent the draw and 38 percent 1. FC Kaiserslautern. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from VfL Osnabrück and 1.4 from 1. FC Kaiserslautern, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: VfL Osnabrück or 1. FC Kaiserslautern at 74 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 67 percent and Both teams to score at 60 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

VfL Osnabrück win36%
Draw26%
Kaiserslautern win38%

Expected goals

VfL Osnabrück crestVfL Osnabrück1.45
1. FC Kaiserslautern crest1. FC Kaiserslautern1.41

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

VfL Osnabrück vs Kaiserslautern: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in VfL Osnabrück vs Kaiserslautern?

Kaiserslautern. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 36% for VfL Osnabrück and 26% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 60%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 57%, with expected goals of 1.4 for VfL Osnabrück and 1.4 for Kaiserslautern.

When is VfL Osnabrück vs Kaiserslautern?

Saturday 7 November, 15:00 EAT (12:00 UTC). It is a 2. Bundesliga match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreBundesliga hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.