Brasileirão Serie A
Vitória vs Fluminense Prediction: a narrow Fluminense win
Our model makes Vitória vs Fluminense a narrow Fluminense win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 39Tips44 Power48
- 30Tips44 Form40
- 48Tips44 Attack60
- 40Tips44 Defence44
- 50Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Fluminense to score90% recent
Fluminense scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 72%
9 of Vitória's last 10 and 8 of Fluminense's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Vitória to score80% recent
Vitória scored in 8 of their last 10 (12 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Fluminense at 41 percent, with the draw at 29 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Vitória and 1.2 from Fluminense, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Vitória1.18
Fluminense1.23Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Vitória vs Fluminense: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Vitória vs Fluminense?
Fluminense. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 30% for Vitória and 29% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 46%, with expected goals of 1.2 for Vitória and 1.2 for Fluminense.
When is Vitória vs Fluminense?
Saturday 7 November, 02:00 EAT (23:00 UTC). It is a Brasileirão Serie A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.