A-League Men
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction: a narrow Wellington Phoenix win
Our model makes Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners a narrow Wellington Phoenix win and low confidence at 52%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 272 wins and 136 losses from 408 settled picks, a 66.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Wellington Phoenix or drawDouble chance tips today77%1.30
- Wellington Phoenix (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today69%1.45
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Wellington Phoenix at 52 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Wellington Phoenix or draw at 77 percent and Wellington Phoenix (draw no bet) at 69 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.