Championship
West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton Prediction: a narrow West Bromwich Albion win
Our model makes West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton a narrow West Bromwich Albion win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 62% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.5 / 1.3).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today80%1.25
- West Bromwich Albion or SouthamptonDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.0%8.33
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 59Tips44 Power70
- 60Tips44 Form70
- 52Tips44 Attack76
- 64Tips44 Defence64
- 30Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Southampton to score90% recent
Southampton scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
- West Bromwich Albion to score80% recent
West Bromwich Albion scored in 8 of their last 10 (13 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent West Bromwich Albion, 26 percent the draw and 37 percent Southampton. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from West Bromwich Albion and 1.3 from Southampton, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent, West Bromwich Albion or Southampton at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
West Bromwich Albion1.48
Southampton1.29Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?
West Bromwich Albion. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 37% for Southampton and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 62%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 1.5 for West Bromwich Albion and 1.3 for Southampton.
When is West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?
Tuesday 3 November, 23:00 EAT (20:00 UTC). It is a Championship match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.