Ekstraklasa
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok Prediction: a narrow Jagiellonia Białystok win
Our model makes Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok a narrow Jagiellonia Białystok win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 61% — combined xG 3.2.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today82%1.22
- Wieczysta Kraków or Jagiellonia BiałystokDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.5%9.52
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 34Tips44 Power38
- 27Tips44 Form30
- 52Tips44 Attack52
- 24Tips44 Defence32
- 60Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 82%
10 of Wieczysta Kraków's last 10 and 8 of Jagiellonia Białystok's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent Wieczysta Kraków, 24 percent the draw and 38 percent Jagiellonia Białystok. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Wieczysta Kraków and 1.6 from Jagiellonia Białystok, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, Wieczysta Kraków or Jagiellonia Białystok at 76 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Our model rates it even: 38% each, with the draw at 24%.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 60%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 61%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Wieczysta Kraków and 1.6 for Jagiellonia Białystok.
When is Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Saturday 31 October, 16:45 EAT (13:45 UTC). It is a Ekstraklasa match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.