League One
Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley Prediction: a narrow Wigan Athletic win
Our model makes Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley a narrow Wigan Athletic win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 63% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.5 / 1.3).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 301 wins and 119 losses from 420 settled picks, a 71.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today77%1.30
- Wigan Athletic or BarnsleyDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.8%8.47
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 43Tips44 Power31
- 37Tips44 Form20
- 36Tips44 Attack68
- 56Tips44 Defence4
- 50Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Barnsley to score90% recent
Barnsley scored in 9 of their last 10 (17 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 41 percent Wigan Athletic, 26 percent the draw and 33 percent Barnsley. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Wigan Athletic and 1.3 from Barnsley, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 77 percent and Wigan Athletic or Barnsley at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Wigan Athletic1.53
Barnsley1.29Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley?
Wigan Athletic. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 33% for Barnsley and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 63%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Wigan Athletic and 1.3 for Barnsley.
When is Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley?
Saturday 14 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League One match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.