National League
Worthing vs Southend United Prediction: a narrow Southend United win
Our model makes Worthing vs Southend United a narrow Southend United win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 68% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.7 / 1.7).
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Worthing FC or Southend UnitedDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today68%1.47
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today67%1.49
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.7%10.31
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 67Tips44 Power64
- 70Tips44 Form60
- 80Tips44 Attack100
- 52Tips44 Defence32
- 80Tips44 Goals90
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Southend United to score100% recent
Southend United scored in 10 of their last 10 (25 goals).
- Worthing to score90% recent
Worthing scored in 9 of their last 10 (20 goals).
- Both teams to score85% recent · model 68%
Both teams scored in 7 of Worthing's last 10 and 10 of Southend United's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Over 2.5 goals85% recent · model 67%
8 of Worthing's last 10 and 9 of Southend United's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.2 and 4.2 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 34 percent Worthing FC, 24 percent the draw and 42 percent Southend United. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Worthing FC and 1.7 from Southend United, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, Worthing FC or Southend United at 76 percent and Both teams to score at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Worthing vs Southend United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Worthing vs Southend United?
Southend United. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 34% for Worthing and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 68%. Both teams scored in 7 of Worthing's last 10 and 10 of Southend United's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 67%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Worthing and 1.7 for Southend United.
When is Worthing vs Southend United?
Tuesday 27 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.