Championship
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Prediction: a narrow Middlesbrough win
Our model makes Wrexham vs Middlesbrough a narrow Middlesbrough win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Wrexham or MiddlesbroughDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today65%1.54
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.9%8.40
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 43Tips44 Power67
- 40Tips44 Form70
- 48Tips44 Attack92
- 40Tips44 Defence40
- 50Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Middlesbrough to score90% recent
Middlesbrough scored in 9 of their last 10 (23 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 33 percent Wrexham, 27 percent the draw and 40 percent Middlesbrough. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Wrexham and 1.4 from Middlesbrough, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Wrexham or Middlesbrough at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Wrexham1.34
Middlesbrough1.45Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Middlesbrough. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 33% for Wrexham and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Wrexham and 1.4 for Middlesbrough.
When is Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Wednesday 4 November, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Championship match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.