Livescore44

J1 League

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction: a narrow Yokohama F. Marinos win

Our model makes Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale a narrow Yokohama F. Marinos win and low confidence at 46%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Yokohama F. Marinos win
Confidencelow (46%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 65% — combined xG 3.4.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Yokohama F. MarinosKawasaki Frontale
  • 55Tips44 Power70
  • 50Tips44 Form73
  • 52Tips44 Attack92
  • 64Tips44 Defence44
  • 30Tips44 Goals80

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Kawasaki Frontale to score100% recent

    Kawasaki Frontale scored in 10 of their last 10 (23 goals).

  • Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 84%

    8 of Yokohama F. Marinos's last 10 and 9 of Kawasaki Frontale's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today
  • Yokohama F. Marinos to score80% recent

    Yokohama F. Marinos scored in 8 of their last 10 (13 goals).

  • Both teams to score70% recent · model 63%

    Both teams scored in 6 of Yokohama F. Marinos's last 10 and 8 of Kawasaki Frontale's last 10.

    More both teams to score picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Yokohama F. Marinos at 46 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.6 from Kawasaki Frontale, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent, Yokohama F. Marinos or Kawasaki Frontale at 77 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Yokohama F. Marinos win46%
Draw23%
Kawasaki Frontale win32%

Expected goals

Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1.88
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1.56

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Yokohama F. Marinos. Our model gives them a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Kawasaki Frontale and 23% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 63%. Both teams scored in 6 of Yokohama F. Marinos's last 10 and 8 of Kawasaki Frontale's last 10.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 65%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.6 for Kawasaki Frontale.

When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Sunday 1 November, 07:00 EAT (04:00 UTC). It is a J1 League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.