DFB Pokal
Cologne vs Union Berlin Prediction: a Cologne win
Our model makes Cologne vs Union Berlin a Cologne win and low confidence at 51%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- 1. FC Union Berlin (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today77%1.30
- 1. FC Köln or drawDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today71%1.41
- Correct score 1-2Correct score tips today9.3%10.75
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 49Tips44 Power32
- 50Tips44 Form40
- 56Tips44 Attack52
- 40Tips44 Defence4
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Cologne to score80% recent
Cologne scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has 1. FC Köln at 51 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from 1. FC Köln and 2.3 from 1. FC Union Berlin, a combined 3.7, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: 1. FC Union Berlin (draw no bet) at 77 percent, 1. FC Köln or draw at 76 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 71 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-2, though at 9.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Cologne vs Union Berlin: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Cologne vs Union Berlin?
Cologne. Our model gives them a 51% chance of winning, against 24% for Union Berlin and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Cologne and 2.3 for Union Berlin.
When is Cologne vs Union Berlin?
Tuesday 27 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a DFB Pokal match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.