Bundesliga
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Prediction: a Bayern Munich win
Our model makes 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich a Bayern Munich win, with a most likely score of 1-2 and moderate confidence at 64%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 70% — combined xG 3.7.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- FC Bayern München or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- FC Bayern München (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today78%1.28
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today70%1.43
- FC Bayern München to winMatch result tips today64%1.56
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-2Correct score tips today9.2%10.87
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 49Tips44 Power74
- 43Tips44 Form73
- 80Tips44 Attack100
- 24Tips44 Defence48
- 70Tips44 Goals100
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Harry Kane (Bayern Munich)
- Jamal Musiala (Bayern Munich)
What the last 10 matches say
- Bayern Munich to score100% recent
Bayern Munich scored in 10 of their last 10 (38 goals).
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score80% recent
1. FSV Mainz 05 scored in 8 of their last 10 (20 goals).
- Over 3.5 goals75% recent · model 49%
6 of 1. FSV Mainz 05's last 10 and 9 of Bayern Munich's last 10 had four goals or more.
More over 3.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has FC Bayern München at 64 percent, with the draw at 18 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 2.4 from FC Bayern München, a combined 3.7, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, FC Bayern München or draw at 82 percent and FC Bayern München (draw no bet) at 78 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-2, though at 9.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
1. FSV Mainz 051.33
FC Bayern München2.41Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich. Our model gives them a 64% chance of winning, against 18% for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 18% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 63%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 70%, with expected goals of 1.3 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 2.4 for Bayern Munich.
When is 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich?
Saturday 7 November, 17:30 EAT (14:30 UTC). It is a Bundesliga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.