Nigeria Premier Football League
Abia Warriors vs Doma United Prediction: an Abia Warriors win
Our model makes Abia Warriors vs Doma United an Abia Warriors win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and moderate confidence at 64%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Abia Warriors favoured at 64%, with model xG of 1.7 vs 0.7.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Abia Warriors or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Abia Warriors (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today84%1.19
- Abia Warriors to winMatch result tips today64%1.56
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today15.4%6.49
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 34Tips44 Power50
- 30Tips44 Form50
- 40Tips44 Attack52
- 32Tips44 Defence48
- 50Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Doma United to score90% recent
Doma United scored in 9 of their last 10 (13 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Abia Warriors at 64 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Abia Warriors and 0.7 from Doma United FC, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Abia Warriors or draw at 85 percent, Abia Warriors (draw no bet) at 84 percent and Abia Warriors to win at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 15.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Abia Warriors1.73
Doma United FC0.69Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Abia Warriors vs Doma United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Abia Warriors vs Doma United?
Abia Warriors. Our model gives them a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Doma United and 24% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 44%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 44%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Abia Warriors and 0.7 for Doma United.
When is Abia Warriors vs Doma United?
Sunday 8 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Nigeria Premier Football League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.